IMPACTO DE FATORES METEOROLÓGICOS SOBRE AS CONCENTRAÇÕES DE OZÔNIO MODELADOS POR ANÁLISE DE SÉRIES TEMPORAIS E MÉTODOS ESTATÍSTICOS MULTIVARIADOS

Autores

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15628/holos.2017.5033

Palavras-chave:

ozônio urbano, Campo Grande, parâmetros meteorológicos

Resumo

O objetivo desta pesquisa foi de desenvolver um modelo para prever as concentrações de ozônio em função das variáveis climáticas. As medidas de concentração do ozônio foram realizadas na Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, utilizando dados do período de janeiro a dezembro de 2014. As variáveis preditoras referentes ao clima (umidade relativa, velocidade do vento, chuva, aeerossóis, índice de claridade, radiação solar global e temperatura) foram cedidas pela CEMTEC-Campo Grande-MS. Foram realizadas análise de componentes principais (PCA) e análise de regressão linear múltipla (MLR) aplicadas a estas séries temporais. As principais relações observadas nestas análises foram então usadas para obter uma equação de regressão que liga as concentrações de ozônio diurnas com parâmetros climáticos. O modelo desenvolvido é capaz de explicar 99% da variabilidade nas concentrações de ozônio de superfície com um erro de 0,2%?

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Biografia do Autor

Amaury de Souza, Instituto de Fisica, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul

Graduado em Fisica (UFSCAR/USP-Sao Carlos), mestrado em meteorologia (UFV), doutorado em Tecnologias Ambientais (UFMS) e Prof Associado na UFMS.

Debora A.S. Santos, Depto de Enfermagem, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso, campus de Rondonopolis

graduada em enfermagem, mestrado e doutorado em ciencias ambientais

Flavio Aristone, Instituto de Fisica, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul

Graduado em fisica (UNICAMP), Mestrado em fisica (UNICAMP) doutorado em Fisica ( Franca) professor titular na UFMS

Elvira Kova?-Andri?, University of Osijek, Osijek · Department of Chemistry

Professor (Assistant) University of Osijek, Osijek · Department of Chemistry

Berislav Markovi?, University of Osijek, Osijek · Department of Chemistry

Professor (Assistant) University of Osijek, Osijek · Department of Chemistry

Brunislav Matasovi?, University of Osijek, Osijek · Department of Chemistry

Professor (Assistant) University of Osijek, Osijek · Department of Chemistry

Hamilton G. Pavao, Instituto de Fisica, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul

Graduado, mestrado em Fisica (UNICAMP), doutor e Geofisica (INPE) e proofessor titular na UFMS

Jose C M Pires, Universidade do Porto

Graduado em engenharia, mestrado e doutorado em engenharia ambiental

Priscilla V Ikefuti, Universidade Federal da Fronteira Sul, Erechim, Brasil

Graduada em geografia (UNESP), mestrado e doutorado em Geografia fisica (USP-SP)

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Publicado

2017-11-14

Como Citar

Souza, A. de, Santos, D. A., Aristone, F., Kova?-Andri?, E., Markovi?, B., Matasovi?, B., Pavao, H. G., Pires, J. C. M., & Ikefuti, P. V. (2017). IMPACTO DE FATORES METEOROLÓGICOS SOBRE AS CONCENTRAÇÕES DE OZÔNIO MODELADOS POR ANÁLISE DE SÉRIES TEMPORAIS E MÉTODOS ESTATÍSTICOS MULTIVARIADOS. HOLOS, 5, 2–16. https://doi.org/10.15628/holos.2017.5033

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